What is it about?
This research paper analyzes the transmission dynamics of COVID-19 using a susceptible-infectious-quarantined-diseased model with a quarantine-adjusted incidence function. Closed-form solutions for variables and expressions for force of infection and rate of infection are provided. The epidemic peak and time to reach it are also discussed, along with comparisons to actual data in Pakistan and forecasts for other countries.
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Why is it important?
Closed-form solutions for all variables of the SIQD model are established using classical techniques of solving ordinary differential equations (ODEs). The study provides closed-form expressions for the force of infection and rate at which susceptible individuals become infected. The comparison of estimated and actual epidemic peak of COVID-19 in Pakistan is provided, along with a forecast of the epidemic peak for the United States, Brazil, India, and the Syrian Arab Republic.
Perspectives
The study analyzes disease control and prevention strategies using a susceptible-infectious-quarantined-diseased (SIQD) model with a quarantine-adjusted incidence function.
Dr. Marwan Al-Raeei
Damascus University
Read the Original
This page is a summary of: Analysis of transmission dynamics of COVID‐19 via closed‐form solutions of a susceptible‐infectious‐quarantined‐diseased model with a quarantine‐adjusted incidence function, Mathematical Methods in the Applied Sciences, May 2021, Wiley,
DOI: 10.1002/mma.7481.
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