Future demand of rice for food security

What is it about?

Rice is the staple food for most of the people in the world. On the other hand food security is synonymous with Rice security in south-east Asia, especially in Bangladesh.

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Why is it important?

Authentic estimation of future rice requirements and future resource availability would guide to way forward. This paper presents rice vision for Bangladesh leading to 2050 and beyond. In this study, secondary data from different government-owned statistics and research institutes were collected, analyzed, and synthesized to develop models and/or model parameters to generate outputs such as future population, rice production, and rice requirement. Several hurdles, such as increasing population, decreasing resources, and increasing climate vulnerability, can hinder achieving the target. Three major interventions- accelerating genetic gain, minimizing the yield gap, and curtailing adoption lag are proposed to break the barriers to achieve the target. Major challenges to implementing the interventions include shrinking net cropped areas, decreasing availability of irrigation water, and increasing pressure on soil fertility. Smart technology such as location-specific variety, profitable cropping sequences, innovative cultural management, and mechanization coupled with smart dissemination using multiple means would ease production barriers.

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