What is it about?
This research uses the SEIR model to predict the spread of COVID-19 in the United States, Russia, the United Kingdom, Brazil, France, and India. The predicted peak infection will occur in the first half of 2021 and the basic reproduction number ranges from 1.0158 to 3.6642 without vaccination.
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Why is it important?
The simulation considers the susceptible, exposed, infective, and recovered cases of the disease. The results show that the predicted peak infection of COVID-19 will occur in the first half of 2021 in the six countries studied. The basic reproduction number for SARS-CoV-2 ranges from 1.0158 to 3.6642 without vaccination.
Perspectives
The SEIR model is used to simulate and predict the spread of COVID-19 in six countries with the most confirmed cases.
Dr. Marwan Al-Raeei
Damascus University
Read the Original
This page is a summary of: Applying SEIR model without vaccination for COVID-19 in case of the United States, Russia, the United Kingdom, Brazil, France, and India, Epidemiologic Methods, February 2021, De Gruyter,
DOI: 10.1515/em-2020-0036.
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