What is it about?
This research paper uses an algorithm to simulate the spread and forecast of COVID-19 using the SIRD epidemic model. The study focuses on Algeria and predicts a potential increase in cases for the following months. The algorithm can also be used to find other related coefficients of the pandemic.
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Why is it important?
The algorithm uses an implicit analytical solution and finite difference methods to find coefficients for infection, recovery, and mortality for Algeria. The paper predicts the number of infected, recovered, and deceased cases for the following months using methods commonly used for epidemic models. The algorithm used in the paper can potentially be applied to find other coefficients related to the pandemic, such as the basic reproduction number.
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Read the Original
This page is a summary of: Estimation of epidemiological indicators of COVID-19 in Algeria with an SIRD model, Eurasian Journal of Medicine and Oncology, January 2021, Kare Publishing,
DOI: 10.14744/ejmo.2021.35428.
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