What is it about?
Precipitation is a key source of water for agriculture and daily life in East Africa. Drought and floods stem from dry and rainy seasons and affect millions of people. The large scale patterns of the Pacific and Indian Ocean surface temperature together with the general circulation clearly determine precipitation patterns in the region. Soil moisture dependance is a bit more debatable.
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Why is it important?
Precipitation trends are important for identifying recursive patterns for regional rainfall monitoring and forecast as well as spotting climatic trends.
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This page is a summary of: An observational study of the variability of East African rainfall with respect to sea surface temperature and soil moisture, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, August 2018, Wiley,
DOI: 10.1002/qj.3255.
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