All Stories

  1. Using decadal climate predictions to constrain climate projections

    Article • Geophysical Research Letters, August 2020, American Geophysical Union (AGU)

    Antje Weisheimer

  2. Assessing the robustness of multidecadal variability in Northern Hemisphere wintertime seasonal forecast skill

    Article • Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, August 2020, Wiley

    Antje Weisheimer

  3. Beyond skill scores: exploring sub‐seasonal forecast value through a case‐study of French month‐ahead energy prediction

    Article • Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, August 2020, Wiley

    Antje Weisheimer

  4. Comment on transparency of data used in this study

    Article • April 2020, Copernicus GmbH

    Antje Weisheimer

  5. Calibrating large-ensemble European climate projections using observational data

    Article • March 2020, Copernicus GmbH

    Antje Weisheimer

  6. Constraining Climate Projections using Decadal Predictions

    Article • March 2020, Copernicus GmbH

    Antje Weisheimer

  7. Multi-decadal variability in long-range ENSO predictions (SEAS5-20C)

    Article • March 2020, Copernicus GmbH

    Antje Weisheimer

  8. Quantifying the usefulness of European subseasonal forecasts using a real-world energy-sector framework

    Article • March 2020, Copernicus GmbH

    Antje Weisheimer

  9. Tropical Cyclones in European Seasonal Forecast Models

    Article • March 2020, Copernicus GmbH

    Antje Weisheimer

  10. Calibrating large-ensemble European climate projections using observational data

    Article • March 2020, Copernicus GmbH

    Antje Weisheimer

  11. Supplementary material to "Calibrating large-ensemble European climate projections using observational data"

    Article • March 2020, Copernicus GmbH

    Antje Weisheimer

  12. An Interdecadal Shift of the Extratropical Teleconnection From the Tropical Pacific During Boreal Summer

    Article • Geophysical Research Letters, November 2019, American Geophysical Union (AGU)

    Antje Weisheimer

  13. Seasonal Predictability of the Winter North Atlantic Oscillation From a Jet Stream Perspective

    Article • Geophysical Research Letters, August 2019, American Geophysical Union (AGU)

    Antje Weisheimer

  14. How confident are predictability estimates of the winter North Atlantic Oscillation?

    Article • Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, February 2019, Wiley

    Antje Weisheimer

  15. Factors Influencing the Seasonal Predictability of Northern Hemisphere Severe Winter Storms

    Article • Geophysical Research Letters, January 2019, American Geophysical Union (AGU)

    Antje Weisheimer

  16. Seasonal forecast skill for extratropical cyclones and windstorms

    Article • Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, December 2018, Wiley

    Antje Weisheimer

  17. The importance of stratospheric initial conditions for winter North Atlantic Oscillation predictability and implications for the signal-to-noise paradox

    Article • Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, December 2018, Wiley

    Antje Weisheimer

  18. Ensemble sensitivity analysis of Greenland blocking in medium-range forecasts

    Article • Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, October 2018, Wiley

    Antje Weisheimer

  19. An Intercomparison of Skill and Overconfidence/Underconfidence of the Wintertime North Atlantic Oscillation in Multimodel Seasonal Forecasts

    Article • Geophysical Research Letters, August 2018, American Geophysical Union (AGU)

    Antje Weisheimer

  20. The Impact of Tropical Precipitation on Summertime Euro-Atlantic Circulation via a Circumglobal Wave Train

    Article • Journal of Climate, August 2018, American Meteorological Society

    Antje Weisheimer

  21. The northern hemisphere circumglobal teleconnection in a seasonal forecast model and its relationship to European summer forecast skill

    Article • Climate Dynamics, July 2018, Springer Science + Business Media

    Antje Weisheimer

  22. Predicting El Niño in 2014 and 2015

    Article • Scientific Reports, July 2018, Springer Science + Business Media

    Antje Weisheimer

  23. Seasonal to annual ocean forecasting skill and the role of model and observational uncertainty

    Article • Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, July 2018, Wiley

    Antje Weisheimer

  24. Flow dependent ensemble spread in seasonal forecasts of the boreal winter extratropics

    Article • Atmospheric Science Letters, April 2018, Wiley

    Antje Weisheimer

  25. A Simple Pedagogical Model Linking Initial-Value Reliability with Trustworthiness in the Forced Climate Response

    Article • Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, March 2018, American Meteorological Society

    Antje Weisheimer

  26. Stochastic representations of model uncertainties at ECMWF: state of the art and future vision

    Article • Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, July 2017, Wiley

    Antje Weisheimer

  27. Grand European and Asian-Pacific multi-model seasonal forecasts: maximization of skill and of potential economical value to end-users

    Article • Climate Dynamics, June 2017, Springer Science + Business Media

    Antje Weisheimer

  28. Variability in seasonal forecast skill of Northern Hemisphere winters over the twentieth century

    Article • Geophysical Research Letters, June 2017, Wiley

    Antje Weisheimer

  29. The impact of stochastic physics on tropical rainfall variability in global climate models on daily to weekly time scales

    Article • Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres, June 2017, Wiley

    Antje Weisheimer

  30. Can bias correction and statistical downscaling methods improve the skill of seasonal precipitation forecasts?

    Article • Climate Dynamics, April 2017, Springer Science + Business Media

    Rodrigo Manzanas, Antje Weisheimer

  31. Climate SPHINX: evaluating the impact of resolution and stochastic physics parameterisations in the EC-Earth global climate model

    Article • Geoscientific Model Development, March 2017, Copernicus GmbH

    Antje Weisheimer

  32. Stochastic Parameterization: Toward a New View of Weather and Climate Models

    Article • Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, March 2017, American Meteorological Society

    Antje Weisheimer, Ulrich Achatz

  33. Atmospheric seasonal forecasts of the twentieth century: multi-decadal variability in predictive skill of the winter North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and their potential value for extreme event attribution

    Article • Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, January 2017, Wiley

    Antje Weisheimer

  34. Evaluating uncertainty in estimates of soil moisture memory with a reverse ensemble approach

    Article • Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, July 2016, Copernicus GmbH

    Antje Weisheimer

  35. Benchmarking Northern Hemisphere midlatitude atmospheric synoptic variability in centennial reanalysis and numerical simulations

    Article • Geophysical Research Letters, May 2016, American Geophysical Union (AGU)

    Antje Weisheimer

  36. Calibrating Climate Change Time-Slice Projections with Estimates of Seasonal Forecast Reliability

    Article • Journal of Climate, May 2016, American Meteorological Society

    Antje Weisheimer

  37. Oceanic Stochastic Parameterizations in a Seasonal Forecast System

    Article • Monthly Weather Review, May 2016, American Meteorological Society

    Antje Weisheimer

  38. The role of the tropical West Pacific in the extreme Northern Hemisphere winter of 2013/2014

    Article • Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres, February 2016, American Geophysical Union (AGU)

    Antje Weisheimer

  39. Impact of springtime Himalayan–Tibetan Plateau snowpack on the onset of the Indian summer monsoon in coupled seasonal forecasts

    Article • Climate Dynamics, February 2016, Springer Science + Business Media

    Antje Weisheimer

  40. Supplementary material to "Evaluating uncertainty in estimates of soil moisture memory with a reverse ensemble approach"

    Article • February 2016, Copernicus GmbH

    Antje Weisheimer

  41. Human influence on climate in the 2014 southern England winter floods and their impacts

    Article • Nature Climate Change, February 2016, Springer Science + Business Media

    Antje Weisheimer

  42. Influence of the Eurasian snow on the negative North Atlantic Oscillation in subseasonal forecasts of the cold winter 2009/2010

    Article • Climate Dynamics, November 2015, Springer Science + Business Media

    Antje Weisheimer

  43. Improved seasonal prediction of the hot summer of 2003 over Europe through better representation of uncertainty in the land surface

    Article • Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, September 2015, Wiley

    Antje Weisheimer

  44. Impact of Initial Conditions versus External Forcing in Decadal Climate Predictions: A Sensitivity Experiment

    Article • Journal of Climate, June 2015, American Meteorological Society

    Antje Weisheimer

  45. Impact of hindcast length on estimates of seasonal climate predictability

    Article • Geophysical Research Letters, March 2015, American Geophysical Union (AGU)

    Antje Weisheimer

  46. Addressing model error through atmospheric stochastic physical parametrizations: impact on the coupled ECMWF seasonal forecasting system

    Article • Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A Mathematical Physical and Engineering Sciences, May 2014, Royal Society Publishing

    Dr Antje Weisheimer, Antje Weisheimer

  47. How reliable are seasonal forecasts?

    Article • Journal of The Royal Society Interface, April 2014, Royal Society Publishing

    Dr Antje Weisheimer, Antje Weisheimer

  48. Impact of snow initialization on sub-seasonal forecasts

    Article • Climate Dynamics, May 2013, Springer Science + Business Media

    Antje Weisheimer

  49. Reliability of decadal predictions

    Article • Geophysical Research Letters, November 2012, American Geophysical Union (AGU)

    Antje Weisheimer

  50. Decadal climate prediction with the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts coupled forecast system: Impact of ocean observations

    Article • Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres, October 2011, American Geophysical Union (AGU)

    Antje Weisheimer

  51. Assessment of representations of model uncertainty in monthly and seasonal forecast ensembles

    Article • Geophysical Research Letters, August 2011, American Geophysical Union (AGU)

    Antje Weisheimer

  52. Diagnosing the causes of bias in climate models – why is it so hard?

    Article • Geophysical & Astrophysical Fluid Dynamics, April 2011, Taylor & Francis

    Antje Weisheimer

  53. On the predictability of the extreme summer 2003 over Europe

    Article • Geophysical Research Letters, March 2011, American Geophysical Union (AGU)

    Antje Weisheimer

  54. Evaluation of Probabilistic Quality and Value of the ENSEMBLES Multimodel Seasonal Forecasts: Comparison with DEMETER

    Article • Monthly Weather Review, February 2011, American Meteorological Society

    Antje Weisheimer

  55. ENSEMBLES: A new multi-model ensemble for seasonal-to-annual predictions—Skill and progress beyond DEMETER in forecasting tropical Pacific SSTs

    Article • Geophysical Research Letters, November 2009, American Geophysical Union (AGU)

    Antje Weisheimer

  56. Reply

    Article • Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, October 2009, American Meteorological Society

    Antje Weisheimer

  57. Addressing model uncertainty in seasonal and annual dynamical ensemble forecasts

    Article • Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, July 2009, Wiley

    Antje Weisheimer

  58. Impact of a quasi-stochastic cellular automaton backscatter scheme on the systematic error and seasonal prediction skill of a global climate model

    Article • Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A Mathematical Physical and Engineering Sciences, April 2008, Royal Society Publishing

    Antje Weisheimer

  59. Toward Seamless Prediction: Calibration of Climate Change Projections Using Seasonal Forecasts

    Article • Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, April 2008, American Meteorological Society

    Antje Weisheimer

  60. Dynamically-based seasonal forecasts of Atlantic tropical storm activity issued in June by EUROSIP

    Article • Geophysical Research Letters, August 2007, American Geophysical Union (AGU)

    Antje Weisheimer

  61. Correction to “Changing frequency of occurrence of extreme seasonal temperatures under global warming”

    Article • Geophysical Research Letters, January 2006, American Geophysical Union (AGU)

    Antje Weisheimer

  62. Probabilistic prediction of climate using multi-model ensembles: from basics to applications

    Article • Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B Biological Sciences, October 2005, Royal Society Publishing

    Antje Weisheimer

  63. A new view of seasonal forecast skill: bounding boxes from the DEMETER ensemble forecasts

    Article • Tellus A Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, May 2005, Taylor & Francis

    Antje Weisheimer

  64. Improved radio occultation sounding of the Arctic atmosphere using simulations with a high resolution atmospheric model

    Article • Physics and Chemistry of the Earth Parts A/B/C, January 2004, Elsevier

    Antje Weisheimer

  65. On the structure and variability of atmospheric circulation regimes in coupled climate models

    Article • Atmospheric Science Letters, June 2001, Wiley

    Antje Weisheimer