All Stories

  1. USAID Democracy Promotion as a Possible Predictor of Revolutionary Destabilization
  2. Is the Fifth Generation of Revolution Studies Still Coming?
  3. Revolution and Democracy in the Twenty-First Century
  4. Will Global Aging Change the Rate of Technological Progress and Form a New Consumption Model?
  5. Capitalism’s Unclear Futures
  6. Elections, Type of Regime and Risks of Revolutionary Destabilization
  7. Africa—The Continent of the Future. Demographic and Economic Challenges and Opportunities
  8. Introduction: Terrorism and Political Contention in North Africa and the Sahel Region
  9. Non-beverage alcohol consumption in Russia: new evidence from Jewish Autonomous Oblast
  10. Coupvolution as a Mechanism of Regime Change in the Sahel
  11. Revolutionary History of Niger: From Independence to 2023 Coup
  12. Revolutionary and Quasi-Revolutionary Events in Somalia (1960–2023)
  13. Traditional Clan-Tribal Structures and Modern Political System of Somalia
  14. Arab Spring, Its Aftermath, and James Davies’ Inverted J-Curve
  15. Forthcoming youth bulge in Egypt: possible sociopolitical implications
  16. Революционные события XXI века: предварительный количественный анализ
  17. Aging of the Global Population as an Integral Problem of the Future
  18. Global Aging and our Futures
  19. Education and Revolutions: Why do Revolutionary Uprisings Take Violent or Nonviolent Forms?
  20. Revolutions and Democracy
  21. Africa: The Continent of the Future. Challenges and Opportunities
  22. Conclusion: Reconsidering the Limits – Suggestions (Come On!)
  23. Demography: Toward Optimization of Demographic Processes
  24. Future Political Change. Toward a more Efficient World Order
  25. Global Aging: An Integral Problem of the Future. How to Turn a Problem into a Development Driver?
  26. High-Income and Low-Income Countries. Toward a Common Goal at Different Speeds
  27. Introduction: Hoping for the Future
  28. Macrohistorical Approach
  29. Modeling Social Self-Organization and Historical Dynamics. An Overview
  30. Modeling Social Self-Organization and Historical Dynamics: Africa’s Futures
  31. The Future Society and the Transition to It
  32. Demographic Factors as Predictors of Revolutionary Situations: Experience in Quantitative Analysis
  33. A Troubled Return to the Homeland: Syrian Circassians in Southern Russia
  34. Students and protests: A quantitative cross-national analysis
  35. Machine Learning for Ranking Factors of Global and Regional Protest Destabilization with a Special Focus on Afrasian Instability Macrozone
  36. Revolutions and democracy. Can democracies stop violence?
  37. Revolutions and democracy. Can democracies stop violence?
  38. The Global Terrorist Threat in the Sahel and the Origins of Terrorism in Burkina Faso
  39. Will capitalism die? Reflections on the Capitalism of the Past, Present and Future
  40. Disentangling the evolutionary drivers of social complexity: A comprehensive test of hypotheses
  41. Developed and developing countries: towards the common target with different speeds
  42. Internet, Political Regime and Terrorism: A Quantitative Analysis
  43. 20th Century revolutions: characteristics, types, and waves
  44. The Future of Revolutions in the 21st Century and the World System Reconfiguration
  45. The impact of values of men and women on their life expectancy
  46. Global Systems for Sociopolitical Instability Forecasting and Their Efficiency
  47. EDUCATION AND REVOLUTIONS. Why do revolutionary uprisings take violent or nonviolent forms?
  48. EDUCATION AND REVOLUTIONS. Why do revolutionary uprisings take violent or nonviolent forms?
  49. Urban Youth and Terrorism: A Quantitative Analysis (Are Youth Bulges Relevant Anymore?)
  50. Cybernetic Revolution, Sixth Long Kondratiev Cycle, and Global Aging
  51. Estimates of the possible economic effect of the demographic dividend for sub-Saharan Africa for the period up to 2036
  52. Волны революций XXI столетия
  53. Charting the evolution of key military technologies over thousands of years
  54. Deprivation, instability, and propensity to attack: how urbanization influences terrorism
  55. Terrorism and Democracy
  56. Global Trends and Forecasts of the 21st Century
  57. Socio-Economic Development and Protests: A Quantitative Reanalysis
  58. Effect of the Arab Spring on Stabilization Capacity of the MENA Monarchies
  59. Доля молодежи в общей численности взрослого населения как фактор интенсивности ненасильственных протестов: опыт количественного анализа
  60. Formal Education and Contentious Politics: The Case of Violent and Non-Violent Protest
  61. Socio-economic Development and Anti-government Protests in Light of a New Quantitative Analysis of Global Databases
  62. Evolution of stability of socioeconomic system functioning: Some approaches to modeling (with an application to the case of Egypt, 2011–2013)
  63. Seven Weaknesses of the U.S., Donald Trump, and the Future of American Hegemony
  64. The 2010 structural-demographic forecast for the 2010–2020 decade: A retrospective assessment
  65. Russia’s Policy towards the Middle East: The Case of Yemen
  66. A quantitative analysis of worldwide long-term technology growth: From 40,000 BCE to the early 22nd century
  67. Evolution of Sociopolitical Institutions in North-East Yemen (The 1st Millennium BCE–The 2nd Millennium CE)
  68. Relative Deprivation as a Factor of Sociopolitical Destabilization: Toward a Quantitative Comparative Analysis of the Arab Spring Events
  69. Variation of Human Values and Modernization: Preliminary Results
  70. Immanuel Maurice Wallerstein (1930–2019)
  71. Religiosity and Aging: Age and Cohort Effects and Their Implications for the Future of Religious Values in High‐Income OECD Countries
  72. Economic Growth, Education, and Terrorism: A Re-Analysis
  73. Contemporary Islamism: an analysis of its functions and features
  74. Echo of the Arab Spring in Eastern Europe: A Quantitative Analysis
  75. Value orientations of the Afrasian zone of instability: gender dimensions
  76. Democracy and Terrorism: A Re-analysis
  77. Human Values and Modernization: A Global Analysis
  78. Политические аспекты современного исламизма
  79. Относительная депривация как фактор социально-политической дестабилизации: опыт количественного анализа
  80. A Big History of Globalization
  81. Great Divergence of the 18th Century?
  82. A Wave of Global Sociopolitical Destabilization of the 2010s: A Quantitative Analysis
  83. Distilled Spirits Overconsumption as the Most Important Factor of Excessive Adult Male Mortality in Europe
  84. Economic Development and Sociopolitical Destabilization: A Re-Analysis
  85. Reply to Tosh et al.: Quantitative analyses of cultural evolution require engagement with historical and archaeological research
  86. Contemporary Trends in Russia’s Fertility Rate and the Impact of State Support Measures
  87. Oil prices, socio-political destabilization risks, and future energy technologies
  88. METAMORPHOSES OF INTRA-SYRIA NEGOTIATION PROCESS
  89. Economic development, education, and terrorism: A quantitative analysis
  90. Forthcoming changes in world population distribution and global connectivity: implications for global foresight
  91. Unemployment as a Predictor of Socio-Political Destabilization in Western and Eastern Europe
  92. К СИСТЕМНОМУ АНАЛИЗУ КОЛИЧЕСТВЕННЫХ ПОКАЗАТЕЛЕЙ РАЗВИТИЯ ОБРАЗОВАТЕЛЬНЫХ СИСТЕМ АРАБСКИХ СТРАН, "Восток. Афро-Азиатские общества: история и современность"
  93. Modeling Social Pressures Toward Political Instability in the United Kingdom after 1960: A Demographic Structural Analysis
  94. Quantitative historical analysis uncovers a single dimension of complexity that structures global variation in human social organization
  95. “Neighbors in values”: A new dataset of cultural distances between countries based on individuals’ values, and its application to the study of global trade
  96. The future of the global economy in the light of inflationary and deflationary trends and long cycles theory
  97. Волна глобальной социально-политической дестабилизации 2011-2015 гг.: количественный анализ
  98. Akamatsu Waves
  99. GDP Per Capita and Protest Activity: A Quantitative Reanalysis
  100. Transition to a new global paradigm of development and the role of the united nations in this process
  101. Technological development and protest waves: Arab spring as a trigger of the global phase transition?
  102. Forthcoming Kondratieff wave, Cybernetic Revolution, and global ageing
  103. Toward Forecasting Global Economic Dynamics of the Forthcoming Years
  104. Circumscription Theory of the Origins of the State: A Cross-Cultural Re-Analysis
  105. Secular Cycles and Millennial Trends
  106. World Order Transformation and Sociopolitical Destabilization
  107. Spring and Its Global Echo: Quantitative Analysis
  108. Экономический рост и социально-политическая дестабилизация: опыт глобального анализа
  109. Economic Development, Sociopolitical Destabilization and Inequality
  110. Olson—Huntington Hypothesis on a Bell-Shaped Relationship Between the Level of Economic Development and Sociopolitical Destabilization: A Quantitative Analysis
  111. The MANBRIC-Technologies in the Forthcoming Technological Revolution
  112. ВЕЛИКАЯ ДИВЕРГЕНЦИЯ XVIII ВЕКА?, "Восток. Афро-Азиатские общества: история и современность"
  113. Romantic Love and Family Organization
  114. Regime Type and Political Destabilization in Cross-National Perspective: A Re-Analysis
  115. Arab Spring as a Global Phase Transition Trigger
  116. Explaining Current Fertility Dynamics in Tropical Africa From an Anthropological Perspective
  117. Alcohol Control Policies and Alcohol-Related Mortality in Russia: Reply to Razvodovsky and Nemtsov
  118. Scenario Demographic Forecasts for the Bric Countries (((((((((( )
  119. Economic Cycles, Crises, and the Global Periphery
  120. GDP PER CAPITA, PROTEST INTENSITY AND REGIME TYPE: A QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS
  121. Afterword: New Kondratieff Wave and Forthcoming Global Social Transformation
  122. From Kondratieff Cycles to Akamatsu Waves? A New Center-Periphery Perspective on Long Cycles
  123. Interaction between Kondratieff Waves and Juglar Cycles
  124. Introduction. Cyclical and World-Systemic Aspects of Economic Reality with Respect to Contemporary Crisis
  125. Kondratieff Waves and Technological Revolutions
  126. Kondratieff Waves in the World System Perspective
  127. Our Place in the Universe: An Introduction to Big History ed. by Barry Rodrigue, Leonid Grinin, and Andrey Korotayev
  128. MENA Region and the Possible Beginning of World System Reconfiguration
  129. Egyptian coup of 2013: an ‘econometric’ analysis
  130. East Africa in the Malthusian Trap?
  131. Center-Periphery Dissonance as a Possible Factor of the Revolutionary Wave of 2013-2014
  132. Agricultural productivity in past societies: Toward an empirically informed model for testing cultural evolutionary hypotheses
  133. Phases of global demographic transition correlate with phases of the Great Divergence and Great Convergence
  134. Will the explosive growth of China continue?
  135. Effects of Specific Alcohol Control Policy Measures on Alcohol-Related Mortality in Russia from 1998 to 2013
  136. Corrigendum
  137. : (Political Demography of the World Economy: Tropical Africa)
  138. . (Political Demography of Russia. Politics and State Government)
  139. Great Divergence and Great Convergence
  140. Afterword: The Great Convergence and Possible Increase in Global Instability, or the World Without an Absolute Leader
  141. Great Convergence and the Rise of the Rest
  142. Great Divergence and the Rise of the West
  143. Introduction. And Yet the Twain Meet: Great Convergence Brings the East Closer to the West
  144. The Great Convergence and Globalization: How Former Colonies Became the World Economic Locomotives
  145. Globalization Shuffles Cards of the World Pack: In Which Direction is the Global Economic-Political Balance Shifting?
  146. The Importance of Gossip Across Societies
  147. What does global migration network say about recent changes in the world system structure?
  148. On the structure of the present-day convergence
  149. Female Labor Force Participation Rate, Islam, and Arab Culture in Cross-Cultural Perspective
  150. Explosive Population Growth in Tropical Africa: Crucial Omission in Development Forecasts—Emerging Risks and Way Out
  151. Global Population Dynamics Drive the Phases of the Great Divergence and Convergence
  152. Measuring globalization
  153. Economic Dynamics of the United States in 1990—2011: Keynesian Analysis
  154. Urbanization Dynamics in Egypt: Factors, Trends, Perspectives
  155. The origins of dragon-kings and their occurrence in society
  156. Does “Arab Spring” Mean The Beginning Of World System Reconfiguration?
  157. On the dynamics of the world demographic transition and financial-economic crises forecasts
  158. The Coming Epoch of New Coalitions: Possible Scenarios of the Near Future
  159. Kondratieff waves in global invention activity (1900–2008)
  160. Huge rise in gold and oil prices as a precursor of a global financial and economic crisis
  161. Cross-Cultural Analysis of Models of Romantic Love Among U.S. Residents, Russians, and Lithuanians
  162. Biological and Social Phases of Big History: Similarities and Differences of Evolutionary Principles and Mechanisms
  163. Relationship between genome size and organismal complexity in the lineage leading from prokaryotes to mammals
  164. Social Macroevolution: Growth of the World System Integrity and a System of Phase Transitions
  165. Book review: Akop P. Nazaretyan, Anthropology of violence and culture of self-organization. Essays in evolutionary historical psychology, 2nd edition, Moscow, URSS, 2008, 256 pages (in Russian)
  166. Potential for Alcohol Policy to Decrease the Mortality Crisis in Russia
  167. Globalization as Evolutionary Process
  168. Phanerozoic marine biodiversity follows a hyperbolic trend
  169. Wife–Husband Intimacy and Female Status in Cross-Cultural Perspective
  170. Return of the White Raven: Postdiluvial Reconnaissance Motif A2234.1.1 Reconsidered
  171. Ethnographic Atlas XXXI: Peoples of Easternmost Europe
  172. A Cross-Cultural Investigation of the Role of Foot Size in Physical Attractiveness
  173. Valuing thinness or fatness in women
  174. A Compact Macromodel of World System Evolution
  175. Community, Identity and the State
  176. Ethnographic Atlas XXX: Peoples of Siberia
  177. Civilisational Models of Politogenesis ed. by Dmitri M. Bondarenko, Andrey V. Korotayev
  178. Division of Labor by Gender and Postmarital Residence in Cross-Cultural Perspective: A Reconsideration
  179. Evolutionary Implications of Cross-Cultural Correlations
  180. "Galton's Asset" and "Flower's Problem Cultural Networks and Cultural Units in Cross-Cultural Research Ml (Or, Male Genital Mutilations and Polygyny in Cross-Cultural Perspective)
  181. Form of Marriage, Sexual Division of Labor, and Postmarital Residence in Cross-Cultural Perspective: A Reconsideration
  182. “Early State” in Cross-Cultural Perspective: A Statistical Reanalysis of Henri J. M. Claessen’s Database
  183. Factors of Sexual Freedom Among Foragers in Cross-Cultural Perspective
  184. Monopolization of Information and Female Status: A Cross-Cultural Test
  185. Status of Women, Female Contribution to Subsistence, and Monopolization of Information: Further Cross-Cultural Comparisons
  186. Unilineal Descent Organization and Deep Christianization: A Cross-Cultural Comparison
  187. Origins and evolution of chiefdoms
  188. Regions Based on Social Structure: A Reconsideration (or Apologia for Diffusionism)
  189. Polygyny and Democracy: A Cross-Cultural Comparison
  190. Family Size and Community Organization: A Cross-Cultural Comparison
  191. Parallel-Cousin (FBD) Marriage, Islamization, and Arabization
  192. Cultural Units in Cross-Cultural Research
  193. Sexual Equality and Romantic Love: A Reanalysis of Rosenblatt’s Study on the Function of Romantic Love
  194. The earliest Sabaeans in the Jawf: A reconsideration
  195. Aramaeans in a Late Sabaic Inscription
  196. Inventaire des inscriptions sudarabiques. Tome I. Inabba’, Haram, Al-Kāfir, Kamna Et Al-Ḥarāshif. Fascicule A. Les Documents. Fascicule B. Les Planches. By Christian Robin, pp. 221, 60 pi. Paris, Académie des Inscriptions et Belles-Lettres; Rome, Istit...
  197. Apologia for ‘the Sabaean cultural-political area’
  198. Internal structure of Middle Sabaean bayt
  199. Middle Sabaean Cultural-Political Area
  200. MIDDLE SABAIC BN Z: CLAN GROUP, OR HEAD OF CLAN?
  201. Middle Sabaean Cultural-Political Area
  202. Mathematical models of world-system development
  203. The Afroeurasian world-system
  204. SASci 2007 Annual Meeting Panel Proposal: Sociocultural and Political Evolution: patterns, trends, mechanisms, and mathematical models