All Stories

  1. The Fifth Generation of Revolution Studies. Part III: A Systematic Review of Substantive Findings (Repression, Success, and Outcomes of Revolutions)
  2. The Fifth Generation of Revolution Studies. Part II: A Systematic Review of Substantive Findings (Revolution Causes, Forms, and Waves)
  3. The Fifth Generation of Revolution Studies. Part I: When, Why, and How Did It Emerge
  4. Global Aging and the Medicine of the Future
  5. Inflationary Pressure and Revolutionary Destabilization: Impact Assessment and Comparative Analysis
  6. “When Jobs Are Scarce”
  7. Discussion Among the Fifth-Generation Circle. A rejoinder to Mark Beissinger, Daniel Ritter, Valentine Moghadam, Egor Fain, and Alisa Shishkina
  8. USAID Democracy Promotion as a Possible Predictor of Revolutionary Destabilization
  9. Is the Fifth Generation of Revolution Studies Still Coming?
  10. Revolution and Democracy in the Twenty-First Century
  11. Will Global Aging Change the Rate of Technological Progress and Form a New Consumption Model?
  12. Global Evolutionary Perspectives on Gender Differences in Religiosity, Family, Politics and Pro-Social Values Based on the Data from the World Values Survey
  13. Capitalism’s Unclear Futures
  14. Elections, Type of Regime and Risks of Revolutionary Destabilization
  15. Africa—The Continent of the Future. Demographic and Economic Challenges and Opportunities
  16. Introduction: Terrorism and Political Contention in North Africa and the Sahel Region
  17. Non-beverage alcohol consumption in Russia: new evidence from Jewish Autonomous Oblast
  18. Coupvolution as a Mechanism of Regime Change in the Sahel
  19. Revolutionary History of Niger: From Independence to 2023 Coup
  20. Revolutionary and Quasi-Revolutionary Events in Somalia (1960–2023)
  21. Traditional Clan-Tribal Structures and Modern Political System of Somalia
  22. Anti-aging as a Key Challenge for the Medicine of the Future
  23. Biotechnologies in Perspective: Major Breakthroughs, Development of Self-regulating Systems and Possible Social Confrontations
  24. Conclusion. Toward Cybernetic Society
  25. Cybernetic Revolution and Global Aging
  26. Cybernetic Revolution and MANBRIC Technologies. When, How and Where Will the Forthcoming Breakthrough Start?
  27. Cybernetic Revolution and Self-managing Systems
  28. Demographic Transformations in the Historical Process
  29. Global Aging and Other Demographic Trends Within Cybernetic Production Principle
  30. Global Aging, Adaptation to It and Future Demographic Transformations
  31. Global Technological Transformations Since the Stone Age: Theory and History
  32. Introduction: Between Human and Post-human Revolutions, or What Future Awaits Us?
  33. Long-Term Dynamics of Technological Growth: Would it Lead Us to the Singularity?
  34. Medicine and the Cybernetic Revolution: On the Way to Control Over the Human Body
  35. Nanotechnologies, Robotics, Artificial Intelligence and Other MANBRIC Technologies in the Long-Term Development
  36. Quantitative Analysis of Factors of Terrorist Activities: A Systematic Review
  37. The Cybernetic Revolution, COVID-19 and the E-state
  38. Will Global Aging Change the Pace of Technological Progress and Create a New Consumption Model?
  39. The roots of the Turkish-Qatari-Ikhwani alliance and its activities in North Africa and the Middle East
  40. Demographic Transformations in the Light of Technological Development: Types of Demographic Reproduction in the Past and in the Future
  41. Social Evolution: Theoretical Aspects and General Outlines
  42. Arab Spring, Its Aftermath, and James Davies’ Inverted J-Curve
  43. Quantitative Analysis of Political Factors of Revolutionary Destabilization (A Systematic Review)
  44. Forthcoming youth bulge in Egypt: possible sociopolitical implications
  45. Революционные события XXI века: предварительный количественный анализ
  46. Aging of the Global Population as an Integral Problem of the Future
  47. Global Aging and our Futures
  48. Economic Origins of Revolutions: the Link between GDP and the Risk of Revolutionary Events
  49. Education and Revolutions: Why do Revolutionary Uprisings Take Violent or Nonviolent Forms?
  50. Revolutions and Democracy
  51. Africa: The Continent of the Future. Challenges and Opportunities
  52. Conclusion: Reconsidering the Limits – Suggestions (Come On!)
  53. Demography: Toward Optimization of Demographic Processes
  54. Future Political Change. Toward a more Efficient World Order
  55. Global Aging: An Integral Problem of the Future. How to Turn a Problem into a Development Driver?
  56. High-Income and Low-Income Countries. Toward a Common Goal at Different Speeds
  57. Introduction: Hoping for the Future
  58. Macrohistorical Approach
  59. Modeling Social Self-Organization and Historical Dynamics. An Overview
  60. Modeling Social Self-Organization and Historical Dynamics: Africa’s Futures
  61. The Future Society and the Transition to It
  62. Demographic Factors as Predictors of Revolutionary Situations: Experience in Quantitative Analysis
  63. A Troubled Return to the Homeland: Syrian Circassians in Southern Russia
  64. Students and protests: A quantitative cross-national analysis
  65. Machine Learning for Ranking Factors of Global and Regional Protest Destabilization with a Special Focus on Afrasian Instability Macrozone
  66. Urbanization and Revolutions: a Quantitative Analysis
  67. Revolutions and democracy. Can democracies stop violence?
  68. Revolutions and democracy. Can democracies stop violence?
  69. The long cycle perspective on the emerging bio age
  70. The Global Terrorist Threat in the Sahel and the Origins of Terrorism in Burkina Faso
  71. Explaining the rise of moralizing religions: a test of competing hypotheses using the Seshat Databank
  72. Big Gods and big science: further reflections on theory, data, and analysis
  73. Will capitalism die? Reflections on the Capitalism of the Past, Present and Future
  74. Disentangling the evolutionary drivers of social complexity: A comprehensive test of hypotheses
  75. Developed and developing countries: towards the common target with different speeds
  76. Internet, Political Regime and Terrorism: A Quantitative Analysis
  77. 20th Century revolutions: characteristics, types, and waves
  78. Education and Revolutions (Why Do Some Revolutions Take up Arms while Others Do Not?)
  79. The Future of Revolutions in the 21st Century and the World System Reconfiguration
  80. The impact of values of men and women on their life expectancy
  81. Global Systems for Sociopolitical Instability Forecasting and Their Efficiency
  82. EDUCATION AND REVOLUTIONS. Why do revolutionary uprisings take violent or nonviolent forms?
  83. EDUCATION AND REVOLUTIONS. Why do revolutionary uprisings take violent or nonviolent forms?
  84. Urban Youth and Terrorism: A Quantitative Analysis (Are Youth Bulges Relevant Anymore?)
  85. COVID-19 pandemic as a trigger for the acceleration of the cybernetic revolution, transition from e-government to e-state, and change in social relations
  86. Cybernetic Revolution, Sixth Long Kondratiev Cycle, and Global Aging
  87. Estimates of the possible economic effect of the demographic dividend for sub-Saharan Africa for the period up to 2036
  88. Волны революций XXI столетия
  89. Political Regime Types and Revolutionary Destabilization Risks in the Twenty-First Century
  90. Urbanization, the Youth, and Protest: A Cross-National Analysis
  91. Charting the evolution of key military technologies over thousands of years
  92. Deprivation, instability, and propensity to attack: how urbanization influences terrorism
  93. Terrorism and Democracy
  94. Global Trends and Forecasts of the 21st Century
  95. Socio-Economic Development and Protests: A Quantitative Reanalysis
  96. Effect of the Arab Spring on Stabilization Capacity of the MENA Monarchies
  97. Доля молодежи в общей численности взрослого населения как фактор интенсивности ненасильственных протестов: опыт количественного анализа
  98. Formal Education and Contentious Politics: The Case of Violent and Non-Violent Protest
  99. Mathematical Model of Interaction between Civilization Center and Tribal Periphery: A Description
  100. Second Wave of the Libyan Civil War: Factors and Actors
  101. Some Sociodemographic Factors of the Intensity of Anti-Government Demonstrations: Youth Bulges, Urbanization, and Protests
  102. Universal Impact of Formal Education on Value Attitudes in Cross-Regional Perspective
  103. Socio-economic Development and Anti-government Protests in Light of a New Quantitative Analysis of Global Databases
  104. Evolution of stability of socioeconomic system functioning: Some approaches to modeling (with an application to the case of Egypt, 2011–2013)
  105. Non-Beverage Alcohol Consumption In Izhevsk: 15 Years Later
  106. Image of Russia in Afghanistan 30 Years after the Soviet Union Collapse
  107. Seven Weaknesses of the U.S., Donald Trump, and the Future of American Hegemony
  108. The 2010 structural-demographic forecast for the 2010–2020 decade: A retrospective assessment
  109. Russia’s Policy towards the Middle East: The Case of Yemen
  110. A quantitative analysis of worldwide long-term technology growth: From 40,000 BCE to the early 22nd century
  111. Evolution of Sociopolitical Institutions in North-East Yemen (The 1st Millennium BCE–The 2nd Millennium CE)
  112. Internet and Terrorist Activity in Countries with Different Political Regimes (Quantitative Analysis)
  113. The Effectiveness of Global Systems for Monitoring Sociopolitical Instability: A Systematic Analysis
  114. Relative Deprivation as a Factor of Sociopolitical Destabilization: Toward a Quantitative Comparative Analysis of the Arab Spring Events
  115. Variation of Human Values and Modernization: Preliminary Results
  116. Immanuel Maurice Wallerstein (1930–2019)
  117. Religiosity and Aging: Age and Cohort Effects and Their Implications for the Future of Religious Values in High‐Income OECD Countries
  118. Economic Growth, Education, and Terrorism: A Re-Analysis
  119. Contemporary Islamism: an analysis of its functions and features
  120. Echo of the Arab Spring in Eastern Europe: A Quantitative Analysis
  121. Value orientations of the Afrasian zone of instability: gender dimensions
  122. Democracy and Terrorism: A Re-analysis
  123. Human Values and Modernization: A Global Analysis
  124. Политические аспекты современного исламизма
  125. Относительная депривация как фактор социально-политической дестабилизации: опыт количественного анализа
  126. A Big History of Globalization
  127. How Syrian Conflict and Its Migration Crisis Echoed in the Southern Regions of Russia (On the Example of Karachay-Cherkessia)
  128. Islamism, Arab Spring, and the Future of Democracy
  129. Great Divergence of the 18th Century?
  130. A Wave of Global Sociopolitical Destabilization of the 2010s: A Quantitative Analysis
  131. Arab Spring, Revolutions, and the Democratic Values
  132. Background
  133. Between the Arab Spring and the Support for Terrorism
  134. General Conclusion to the Monograph. Mena Region and Global Transformations. Arab Spring and the Beginning of the World System Reconfiguration
  135. Introduction. Why Arab Spring Became Arab Winter
  136. Islamism and Its Role in Modern Islamic Societies
  137. Islamism, Arab Spring and the Future of Democracy
  138. Methods and Data for the Analysis
  139. Perturbations in the Arab World During the Arab Spring: A General Analysis
  140. Radical Islamism and Islamist Terrorism
  141. The Middle East in the World System Context in Comparison with India and China: Some Backgrounds of Islamism in the MENA Region
  142. The Solitude of the West in the Fight against Terror
  143. Distilled Spirits Overconsumption as the Most Important Factor of Excessive Adult Male Mortality in Europe
  144. Economic Development and Sociopolitical Destabilization: A Re-Analysis
  145. Reply to Tosh et al.: Quantitative analyses of cultural evolution require engagement with historical and archaeological research
  146. Contemporary Trends in Russia’s Fertility Rate and the Impact of State Support Measures
  147. Oil prices, socio-political destabilization risks, and future energy technologies
  148. METAMORPHOSES OF INTRA-SYRIA NEGOTIATION PROCESS
  149. Economic development, education, and terrorism: A quantitative analysis
  150. Forthcoming changes in world population distribution and global connectivity: implications for global foresight
  151. Unemployment as a Predictor of Socio-Political Destabilization in Western and Eastern Europe
  152. К СИСТЕМНОМУ АНАЛИЗУ КОЛИЧЕСТВЕННЫХ ПОКАЗАТЕЛЕЙ РАЗВИТИЯ ОБРАЗОВАТЕЛЬНЫХ СИСТЕМ АРАБСКИХ СТРАН, "Восток. Афро-Азиатские общества: история и современность"
  153. Modeling Social Pressures Toward Political Instability in the United Kingdom after 1960: A Demographic Structural Analysis
  154. Quantitative historical analysis uncovers a single dimension of complexity that structures global variation in human social organization
  155. “Neighbors in values”: A new dataset of cultural distances between countries based on individuals’ values, and its application to the study of global trade
  156. The future of the global economy in the light of inflationary and deflationary trends and long cycles theory
  157. Волна глобальной социально-политической дестабилизации 2011-2015 гг.: количественный анализ
  158. Akamatsu Waves
  159. GDP Per Capita and Protest Activity: A Quantitative Reanalysis
  160. Transition to a new global paradigm of development and the role of the united nations in this process
  161. Technological development and protest waves: Arab spring as a trigger of the global phase transition?
  162. Forthcoming Kondratieff wave, Cybernetic Revolution, and global ageing
  163. Toward Forecasting Global Economic Dynamics of the Forthcoming Years
  164. Circumscription Theory of the Origins of the State: A Cross-Cultural Re-Analysis
  165. Secular Cycles and Millennial Trends
  166. World Order Transformation and Sociopolitical Destabilization
  167. Spring and Its Global Echo: Quantitative Analysis
  168. Экономический рост и социально-политическая дестабилизация: опыт глобального анализа
  169. Economic Development, Sociopolitical Destabilization and Inequality
  170. Olson—Huntington Hypothesis on a Bell-Shaped Relationship Between the Level of Economic Development and Sociopolitical Destabilization: A Quantitative Analysis
  171. The MANBRIC-Technologies in the Forthcoming Technological Revolution
  172. ВЕЛИКАЯ ДИВЕРГЕНЦИЯ XVIII ВЕКА?, "Восток. Афро-Азиатские общества: история и современность"
  173. Romantic Love and Family Organization
  174. Regime Type and Political Destabilization in Cross-National Perspective: A Re-Analysis
  175. Arab Spring as a Global Phase Transition Trigger
  176. Explaining Current Fertility Dynamics in Tropical Africa From an Anthropological Perspective
  177. Alcohol Control Policies and Alcohol-Related Mortality in Russia: Reply to Razvodovsky and Nemtsov
  178. Scenario Demographic Forecasts for the Bric Countries (((((((((( )
  179. Economic Cycles, Crises, and the Global Periphery
  180. GDP PER CAPITA, PROTEST INTENSITY AND REGIME TYPE: A QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS
  181. Afterword: New Kondratieff Wave and Forthcoming Global Social Transformation
  182. From Kondratieff Cycles to Akamatsu Waves? A New Center-Periphery Perspective on Long Cycles
  183. Interaction between Kondratieff Waves and Juglar Cycles
  184. Introduction. Cyclical and World-Systemic Aspects of Economic Reality with Respect to Contemporary Crisis
  185. Kondratieff Waves and Technological Revolutions
  186. Kondratieff Waves in the World System Perspective
  187. Our Place in the Universe: An Introduction to Big History ed. by Barry Rodrigue, Leonid Grinin, and Andrey Korotayev
  188. MENA Region and the Possible Beginning of World System Reconfiguration
  189. Intermediate Types of Political Regimes and Socio-Political Instability (Quantitative Cross-National Analysis)
  190. Egyptian coup of 2013: an ‘econometric’ analysis
  191. East Africa in the Malthusian Trap?
  192. Center-Periphery Dissonance as a Possible Factor of the Revolutionary Wave of 2013-2014
  193. Agricultural productivity in past societies: Toward an empirically informed model for testing cultural evolutionary hypotheses
  194. Phases of global demographic transition correlate with phases of the Great Divergence and Great Convergence
  195. Will the explosive growth of China continue?
  196. Effects of Specific Alcohol Control Policy Measures on Alcohol-Related Mortality in Russia from 1998 to 2013
  197. Political Geography of Modern Egypt
  198. Corrigendum
  199. : (Political Demography of the World Economy: Tropical Africa)
  200. . (Political Demography of Russia. Politics and State Government)
  201. Great Divergence and Great Convergence
  202. Afterword: The Great Convergence and Possible Increase in Global Instability, or the World Without an Absolute Leader
  203. Great Convergence and the Rise of the Rest
  204. Great Divergence and the Rise of the West
  205. Introduction. And Yet the Twain Meet: Great Convergence Brings the East Closer to the West
  206. The Great Convergence and Globalization: How Former Colonies Became the World Economic Locomotives
  207. Ukrainian Mosaic (An Attempt at Quantitative Analysis of Ukrainian Electoral Statistics)
  208. Globalization Shuffles Cards of the World Pack: In Which Direction is the Global Economic-Political Balance Shifting?
  209. The Importance of Gossip Across Societies
  210. What does global migration network say about recent changes in the world system structure?
  211. On the structure of the present-day convergence
  212. Female Labor Force Participation Rate, Islam, and Arab Culture in Cross-Cultural Perspective
  213. Revolution vs. Democracy (revolution and conterrevolution in Egypt)
  214. The Arab Spring: A Quantitative Analysis
  215. Explosive Population Growth in Tropical Africa: Crucial Omission in Development Forecasts—Emerging Risks and Way Out
  216. Global Population Dynamics Drive the Phases of the Great Divergence and Convergence
  217. Measuring globalization
  218. Economic Dynamics of the United States in 1990—2011: Keynesian Analysis
  219. Urbanization Dynamics in Egypt: Factors, Trends, Perspectives
  220. The origins of dragon-kings and their occurrence in society
  221. Does “Arab Spring” Mean The Beginning Of World System Reconfiguration?
  222. On the dynamics of the world demographic transition and financial-economic crises forecasts
  223. The Coming Epoch of New Coalitions: Possible Scenarios of the Near Future
  224. Kondratieff waves in global invention activity (1900–2008)
  225. Huge rise in gold and oil prices as a precursor of a global financial and economic crisis
  226. Cross-Cultural Analysis of Models of Romantic Love Among U.S. Residents, Russians, and Lithuanians
  227. Biological and Social Phases of Big History: Similarities and Differences of Evolutionary Principles and Mechanisms
  228. Relationship between genome size and organismal complexity in the lineage leading from prokaryotes to mammals
  229. Social Macroevolution: Growth of the World System Integrity and a System of Phase Transitions
  230. Book review: Akop P. Nazaretyan, Anthropology of violence and culture of self-organization. Essays in evolutionary historical psychology, 2nd edition, Moscow, URSS, 2008, 256 pages (in Russian)
  231. Potential for Alcohol Policy to Decrease the Mortality Crisis in Russia
  232. Globalization as Evolutionary Process
  233. Phanerozoic marine biodiversity follows a hyperbolic trend
  234. Wife–Husband Intimacy and Female Status in Cross-Cultural Perspective
  235. Return of the White Raven: Postdiluvial Reconnaissance Motif A2234.1.1 Reconsidered
  236. Ethnographic Atlas XXXI: Peoples of Easternmost Europe
  237. A Cross-Cultural Investigation of the Role of Foot Size in Physical Attractiveness
  238. Valuing thinness or fatness in women
  239. A Compact Macromodel of World System Evolution
  240. Community, Identity and the State
  241. Ethnographic Atlas XXX: Peoples of Siberia
  242. Civilisational Models of Politogenesis ed. by Dmitri M. Bondarenko, Andrey V. Korotayev
  243. Division of Labor by Gender and Postmarital Residence in Cross-Cultural Perspective: A Reconsideration
  244. Evolutionary Implications of Cross-Cultural Correlations
  245. "Galton's Asset" and "Flower's Problem Cultural Networks and Cultural Units in Cross-Cultural Research Ml (Or, Male Genital Mutilations and Polygyny in Cross-Cultural Perspective)
  246. Form of Marriage, Sexual Division of Labor, and Postmarital Residence in Cross-Cultural Perspective: A Reconsideration
  247. “Early State” in Cross-Cultural Perspective: A Statistical Reanalysis of Henri J. M. Claessen’s Database
  248. Factors of Sexual Freedom Among Foragers in Cross-Cultural Perspective
  249. Monopolization of Information and Female Status: A Cross-Cultural Test
  250. Status of Women, Female Contribution to Subsistence, and Monopolization of Information: Further Cross-Cultural Comparisons
  251. Unilineal Descent Organization and Deep Christianization: A Cross-Cultural Comparison
  252. Origins and evolution of chiefdoms
  253. Regions Based on Social Structure: A Reconsideration (or Apologia for Diffusionism)
  254. Polygyny and Democracy: A Cross-Cultural Comparison
  255. Family Size and Community Organization: A Cross-Cultural Comparison
  256. Parallel-Cousin (FBD) Marriage, Islamization, and Arabization
  257. Cultural Units in Cross-Cultural Research
  258. Sexual Equality and Romantic Love: A Reanalysis of Rosenblatt’s Study on the Function of Romantic Love
  259. The earliest Sabaeans in the Jawf: A reconsideration
  260. Aramaeans in a Late Sabaic Inscription
  261. Inventaire des inscriptions sudarabiques. Tome I. Inabba’, Haram, Al-Kāfir, Kamna Et Al-Ḥarāshif. Fascicule A. Les Documents. Fascicule B. Les Planches. By Christian Robin, pp. 221, 60 pi. Paris, Académie des Inscriptions et Belles-Lettres; Rome, Istit...
  262. Apologia for ‘the Sabaean cultural-political area’
  263. Internal structure of Middle Sabaean bayt
  264. Middle Sabaean Cultural-Political Area
  265. MIDDLE SABAIC BN Z: CLAN GROUP, OR HEAD OF CLAN?
  266. Middle Sabaean Cultural-Political Area
  267. Mathematical models of world-system development
  268. The Afroeurasian world-system
  269. SASci 2007 Annual Meeting Panel Proposal: Sociocultural and Political Evolution: patterns, trends, mechanisms, and mathematical models