What is it about?
This particular agent leads to step-like increases in death and medical admissions which endure for 12 months before abating. The 12-month duration partly arises from a seeming time cascade of medical conditions. This is a very novel type of new infectious agent.
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Why is it important?
Exactly the same behavior has been characterized in Berkshire and North East Essex. In all cases hospital services are overwhelmed by the sudden and unexpected onset of these outbreaks.
Perspectives
This study is part of a wider series characterizing the impact of these outbreaks on both deaths and medical admissions in the UK and elsewhere in the world, see http://www.hcaf.biz/2010/Publications_Full.pdf
Dr Rodney P Jones
Healthcare Analysis & Forecasting
Read the Original
This page is a summary of: Small area spread and step-like changes in emergency medical admissions in response to an apparently new type of infectious event, Fractal Geometry and Nonlinear Analysis in Medicine and Biology, January 2015, Open Access Text Pvt, Ltd.,
DOI: 10.15761/fgnamb.100110.
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