Cycles in admissions for neurological conditions

What is it about?

According to demographic forecasting a cyclic series of admissions should not exist. Neurological (and many other) conditions all shown a recurring series of up/down movements in hospital activity. Such cycles must arise from a primary recurring event.

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Why is it important?

Health care analysts are far too ready to put straight lines through every trend. Simple visual inspection shows that the residuals are not randomly distributed. A common cause is highly likely.

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