What is it about?

Deviations from expected behavior should always be investigated, especially if they keep occurring! Admissions for aggressive tuberculosis show cyclic behavior.

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Why is it important?

Unexplained growth may reveal underlying mechanisms for growth.

Perspectives

Part of a longer series investigating why health care trends are behaving in a way that defy current explanations, see http://www.hcaf.biz/2010/Publications_Full.pdf

Dr Rodney P Jones
Healthcare Analysis & Forecasting

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This page is a summary of: Forecasting conundrum: a disease time cascade, British Journal of Healthcare Management, February 2014, Mark Allen Group,
DOI: 10.12968/bjhc.2014.20.2.90.
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