What is it about?
A heuristic explanation of Philip Dawid's observation that no adjustment in inference is necessary if it is revealed that a particular treatment for which a mean effect has been calculated has been chosen as being the treatment that gave the highest value.
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Why is it important?
The explanation given should increase understanding of Dawid's selection paradox and in particular the circumstance under which it will and will not occur.
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This page is a summary of: A Note Concerning a Selection “Paradox” of Dawid's, The American Statistician, August 2008, Taylor & Francis,
DOI: 10.1198/000313008x331530.
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