What is it about?
Dialectical Analysis is a forecasting method that provides a field of potential resolutions to contradictions that arise in historical process, both social and nonsocial. It can be especially effective in policy development and analysis and can be used with other forecasting methods to capture the range of policy options and impact probabilities.
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Why is it important?
Because policy development is fraught with unintended consequences and can have generations-long impacts, a means by which these long-term consequences and impacts can be identified can aid in determining optimal policy pathways.
Perspectives
Dialectical Analysis is useful tool in a forecaster's toolbox especially given its versatility and intuitive elegance in providing a more holistic approach to policy studies and applied policy development.
Dr. Timothy Emmett Dolan
Read the Original
This page is a summary of: Framing Indeterminacy: Dialectical Analysis and Futures Studies, World Futures Review, November 2017, SAGE Publications,
DOI: 10.1177/1946756717739628.
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