What is it about?

This study introduces a rapid operational tool, called QATWaSS-TC, for forecasting wave and storm surge hazards associated with tropical cyclones along the Mexican coastline. The tool utilizes precomputed wave parameters and storm surge data from a database of synthetic events to provide quick estimates of warning areas. It aims to support the newly established National Hurricane and Severe Storms Center in Mexico by offering local advisories to assist local governments and emergency managers. The tool's low-cost implementation and ease of adoption make it suitable for countries with limited numerical modeling capabilities and resources.

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Why is it important?

The development of QATWaSS-TC is significant for several reasons. First, it addresses the need for a practical and efficient warning tool for wave and storm surge hazards caused by tropical cyclones in Mexico. By providing rapid estimates of warning areas, the tool empowers forecasters to make informed decisions and issue timely warnings to protect coastal communities. Second, it demonstrates the feasibility of implementing such a tool even with limited budgets and time constraints, making it applicable to developing countries facing similar challenges. Lastly, the study highlights the potential for international adoption, particularly in countries across the Caribbean and Central America, where numerical modeling capabilities may be limited, but the tool can greatly enhance forecasting capabilities.

Perspectives

As the PI of this study, I am proud of overcoming challenges posed by low budgets in Mexico and the need for a fast tool. QATWaSS-TC provides rapid wave and storm surge forecasts for tropical cyclones, aiding local governments and emergency managers. Our work showcases a cost-effective solution that enhances forecasting capabilities, benefiting developing countries. I am honored to lead this research effort, contributing to the safety and resilience of coastal communities.

Christian Appendini
Universidad Nacional Autonoma de Mexico

Read the Original

This page is a summary of: Operational Hazard Assessment of Waves and Storm Surges from Tropical Cyclones in Mexico, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, March 2017, American Meteorological Society,
DOI: 10.1175/bams-d-15-00170.1.
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