What is it about?

Andrey Kolmogorov put forward in 1933 the five fundamental axioms of classical probability theory. The original idea in my complex probability paradigm is to add new imaginary dimensions to the experiment real dimensions which will make the work in the complex probability set totally predictable and with a probability permanently equal to one. Therefore, adding to the real set of probabilities R the contributions of the imaginary set of probabilities M will make the event in C = R + M absolutely deterministic. It is of great importance that stochastic systems become totally predictable since we will be perfectly knowledgeable to foretell the outcome of all random events that occur in nature. Hence, my purpose here is to link my complex probability paradigm to Claude Shannon’s information theory that was originally proposed in 1948. Consequently, by calculating the parameters of the new prognostic model, we will be able to determine the magnitude of the chaotic factor, the degree of our knowledge, the complex probability, the self-information functions, the message entropies, and the channel capacities in the probability sets R and M and C and which are all functions of the message real probability subject to chaos and random effects.

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Why is it important?

All our work in classical probability theory is to compute probabilities. The original idea in this research work is to add new dimensions to our random experiment, which will make the work deterministic. In fact, the probability theory is a nondeterministic theory by nature; that means that the outcome of the events is due to chance and luck. By adding new dimensions to the event in R, we make the work deterministic and hence a random experiment will have a certain outcome in the complex set of probabilities C. It is of great importance that the stochastic system, like the problem considered here, becomes totally predictable since we will be totally knowledgeable to foretell the outcome of chaotic and random events that occur in nature for example in statistical mechanics or in all stochastic processes. Therefore, the work that should be done is to add to the real set of probabilities R, the contributions of M which is the imaginary set of probabilities which will make the event in C = R +M deterministic. If this is found to be fruitful, then a new theory in statistical sciences and prognostic is elaborated and this is to understand absolutely deterministically those phenomena that used to be random phenomena in R. This is what I called ‘The Complex Probability Paradigm (CPP)’, which was initiated and elaborated in my previous papers.

Perspectives

Although I have taught courses on probability and statistics at the university level for many years, I consider myself a beginner in this branch of knowledge; in fact an absolute beginner, always thirsty to learn and discover more. I think that the mathematician who proves to be successful in tackling and mastering the theory of probability and statistics has made it halfway to understanding the mystery of existence revealed in a universe governed sometimes in our modern theories by randomness and uncertainties. The probabilistic aspect is evident in the theories of the quantum world, of thermodynamics, or of statistical mechanics, for example. Hence, the universe’s secret code, I think, is written in a mathematical language, just as Galileo Galilei expressed it in these words: “Philosophy is written in this very great book which is the universe that always lies open before our eyes. One cannot understand this book unless one first learns to understand the language and recognize the characters in which it is written. It is written in a mathematical language and the characters are triangles, circles and other geometrical figures. Without these means it is humanly impossible to understand a word of it. Without these there is only clueless scrabbling around in a dark labyrinth.”

Dr. Abdo Abou Jaoude
Notre Dame University Louaize

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This page is a summary of: The paradigm of complex probability and Claude Shannon’s information theory, Systems Science & Control Engineering, January 2017, Taylor & Francis,
DOI: 10.1080/21642583.2017.1367970.
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