What is it about?
Energy industries face major future challenges related to environment, security, and economics. Here we present a scenario-building framework based on the Global Business Network (GBN) method to help energy industries to develop more resilient conservation policies when faced with unpredictable and external uncertainties.
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Why is it important?
The main macro-level result was that economic and political drivers will be the most important factors for Iran's energy futures followed by technological and social factors.
Perspectives
The paper also gives a good explanation of the Iranian energy situation. The results also emphasise the role of reforms needed in the Iranian energy policy
Professor Peter D. Lund
Aalto University
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This page is a summary of: An integrated scenario-based robust planning approach for foresight and strategic management with application to energy industry, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, March 2016, Elsevier,
DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2015.11.030.
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