What is it about?

This study investigates how weather and air pollution affect influenza patterns across different regions of Thailand from 2009 to 2019. The researchers used advanced statistical techniques to analyze the relationships between influenza cases and factors like temperature, humidity, rainfall, and air pollutants. They found that influenza in Thailand tends to have two peaks per year, typically during rainy and winter seasons, though this pattern wasn't consistent throughout the entire study period. Relative humidity emerged as a key factor influencing influenza rates in most regions, while rainfall showed similar effects in some areas. Interestingly, air pollution, particularly PM10 (a type of particulate matter), also appeared to impact influenza incidence in certain regions and time periods. The study highlights how these factors can vary in their influence across different parts of Thailand, providing valuable insights for public health strategies and potentially improving our ability to predict and manage influenza outbreaks in tropical regions.

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Why is it important?

This study provides valuable insights into the complex relationship between influenza outbreaks, weather patterns, and air pollution across different regions of Thailand. By analyzing 11 years of data using advanced statistical techniques, the researchers uncovered how factors like humidity, rainfall, and air pollution affect influenza transmission in different parts of the country. This information is crucial for public health officials and policymakers to better predict and prepare for influenza seasons, potentially saving lives and reducing the burden on healthcare systems.

Perspectives

This study offers a comprehensive look at how climate and air pollution influence influenza patterns across Thailand, highlighting the complex interplay between environmental factors and disease transmission. The findings not only contribute to our understanding of influenza seasonality in tropical regions but also provide valuable insights for improving prediction models and prevention measures.

Assoc. Prof. Charin Modchang
Mahidol University

Read the Original

This page is a summary of: Seasonal patterns of influenza incidence and the influence of meteorological and air pollution factors in Thailand during 2009–2019, Heliyon, September 2024, Elsevier,
DOI: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e36703.
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