All Stories

  1. (Vision Paper) A Vision for Spatio-Causal Situation Awareness, Forecasting, and Planning

    Article • ACM Transactions on Spatial Algorithms and Systems, June 2024, ACM (Association for Computing Machinery)

    Fahim Azad, Huan LIu, Dr Gerardo Chowell, Ahmet Kapkic

  2. Location-based Rapid Testing For Epidemic (COVID-19) Modeling

    Article • ACM Transactions on Spatial Algorithms and Systems, November 2022, ACM (Association for Computing Machinery)

    Dr Gerardo Chowell, Fahim Azad

  3. An ensemble n-sub-epidemic modeling framework for short-term forecasting epidemic trajectories: Application to the COVID-19 pandemic in the USA

    Article • PLoS Computational Biology, October 2022, PLOS

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  4. Spatial dynamics and the basic reproduction number of the 1991–1997 Cholera epidemic in Peru

    Article • PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases, July 2020, PLOS

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  5. Vaccination strategies to control Ebola epidemics in the context of variable household inaccessibility levels

    Article • PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases, November 2019, PLOS

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  6. Using phenomenological models for forecasting the 2015 Ebola challenge

    Article • Epidemics, March 2018, Elsevier

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  7. Severe mortality impact of the 1957 influenza pandemic in Chile

    Article • Influenza and Other Respiratory Viruses, March 2017, Wiley

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  8. Quantifying the fitness of antiviral-resistant influenza strains

    Article • The Lancet Infectious Diseases, March 2017, Elsevier

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  9. Exploring optimal control strategies in seasonally varying flu-like epidemics

    Article • Journal of Theoretical Biology, January 2017, Elsevier

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  10. Improving epidemic size prediction through stable reconstruction of disease parameters by reduced iteratively regularized Gauss–Newton algorithm

    Article • Journal of Inverse and Ill-Posed Problems, January 2017, De Gruyter

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  11. Mathematical models to elucidate the transmission dynamics and control of vector-borne disease

    Article • International Journal of Infectious Diseases, December 2016, Elsevier

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  12. Pandemic influenza and socioeconomic disparities: Lessons from 1918 Chicago

    Article • Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, November 2016, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  13. A dynamic compartmental model for the Middle East respiratory syndrome outbreak in the Republic of Korea: A retrospective analysis on control interventions and superspreading events

    Article • Journal of Theoretical Biology, November 2016, Elsevier

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  14. Characterizing the reproduction number of epidemics with early subexponential growth dynamics

    Article • Journal of The Royal Society Interface, October 2016, Royal Society Publishing

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  15. Is it growing exponentially fast? – Impact of assuming exponential growth for characterizing and forecasting epidemics with initial near-exponential growth dynamics

    Article • Infectious Disease Modelling, October 2016, Elsevier

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  16. Erratum To: Accounting for Behavioral Responses during a Flu Epidemic Using Home Television Viewing

    Article • BMC Infectious Diseases, September 2016, Springer Science + Business Media

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  17. Mathematical models to characterize early epidemic growth: A review

    Article • Physics of Life Reviews, September 2016, Elsevier

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  18. Early sub-exponential epidemic growth: Simple models, nonlinear incidence rates, and additional mechanisms

    Article • Physics of Life Reviews, September 2016, Elsevier

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  19. Mortality and transmissibility patterns of the 1957 influenza pandemic in Maricopa County, Arizona

    Article • BMC Infectious Diseases, August 2016, Springer Science + Business Media

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  20. Predicting the international spread of Middle East respiratory syndrome (MERS)

    Article • BMC Infectious Diseases, July 2016, Springer Science + Business Media

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  21. Prevention and Control of Zika as a Mosquito-Borne and Sexually Transmitted Disease: A Mathematical Modeling Analysis

    Article • Scientific Reports, June 2016, Nature

    Dr Gerardo Chowell, Daihai He

  22. A generalized-growth model to characterize the early ascending phase of infectious disease outbreaks

    Article • Epidemics, June 2016, Elsevier

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  23. Global Mortality Impact of the 1957–1959 Influenza Pandemic

    Article • The Journal of Infectious Diseases, February 2016, Oxford University Press (OUP)

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  24. Identifying determinants of heterogeneous transmission dynamics of the Middle East respiratory syndrome (MERS) outbreak in the Republic of Korea, 2015: a retrospective epidemiological analysis

    Article • BMJ Open, February 2016, BMJ

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  25. Modeling Ring-Vaccination Strategies to Control Ebola Virus Disease Epidemics

    Article • January 2016, Springer Science + Business Media

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  26. Mathematical and Statistical Modeling for Emerging and Re-emerging Infectious Diseases

    Article • January 2016, Springer Science + Business Media

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  27. Evaluating the Number of Sickbeds During Ebola Epidemics Using Optimal Control Theory

    Article • January 2016, Springer Science + Business Media

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  28. Patch Models of EVD Transmission Dynamics

    Article • January 2016, Springer Science + Business Media

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  29. Using Phenomenological Models to Characterize Transmissibility and Forecast Patterns and Final Burden of Zika Epidemics

    Article • PLoS Currents, January 2016, PLOS

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  30. Whooping cough dynamics in Chile (1932–2010): disease temporal fluctuations across a north-south gradient

    Article • BMC Infectious Diseases, December 2015, Springer Science + Business Media

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  31. Null models for community detection in spatially embedded, temporal networks

    Article • Journal of Complex Networks, November 2015, Oxford University Press (OUP)

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  32. Estimating the risk of Middle East respiratory syndrome (MERS) death during the course of the outbreak in the Republic of Korea, 2015

    Article • International Journal of Infectious Diseases, October 2015, Elsevier

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  33. Modelling the spatial-temporal progression of the 2009 A/H1N1 influenza pandemic in Chile

    Article • Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering, October 2015, American Institute of Mathematical Sciences (AIMS)

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  34. Real-time characterization of risks of death associated with the Middle East respiratory syndrome (MERS) in the Republic of Korea, 2015

    Article • BMC Medicine, September 2015, Springer Science + Business Media

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  35. Transmission characteristics of MERS and SARS in the healthcare setting: a comparative study

    Article • BMC Medicine, September 2015, Springer Science + Business Media

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  36. Characterizing Ebola Transmission Patterns Based on Internet News Reports

    Article • Clinical Infectious Diseases, September 2015, Oxford University Press (OUP)

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  37. Modeling household and community transmission of Ebola virus disease: Epidemic growth, spatial dynamics and insights for epidemic control

    Article • Virulence, August 2015, Taylor & Francis

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  38. Impact of School Cycles and Environmental Forcing on the Timing of Pandemic Influenza Activity in Mexican States, May-December 2009

    Article • PLoS Computational Biology, August 2015, PLOS

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  39. Multiple Trigger Points for Quantifying Heat-Health Impacts: New Evidence from a Hot Climate

    Article • Environmental Health Perspectives, July 2015, Environmental Health Perspectives

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  40. Assessing the risk of observing multiple generations of Middle East respiratory syndrome (MERS) cases given an imported case

    Article • Eurosurveillance, July 2015, European Centre for Disease Control and Prevention (ECDC)

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  41. Ebola vaccine trials: a race against the clock

    Article • The Lancet Infectious Diseases, June 2015, Elsevier

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  42. The first human infection with severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome virus in Shaanxi Province, China

    Article • International Journal of Infectious Diseases, June 2015, Elsevier

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  43. Controlling Ebola: key role of Ebola treatment centres

    Article • The Lancet Infectious Diseases, February 2015, Elsevier

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  44. Ebola control: rapid diagnostic testing

    Article • The Lancet Infectious Diseases, February 2015, Elsevier

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  45. Accounting for behavioral responses during a flu epidemic using home television viewing

    Article • BMC Infectious Diseases, January 2015, Springer Science + Business Media

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  46. Characterizing the Transmission Dynamics and Control of Ebola Virus Disease

    Article • PLoS Biology, January 2015, PLOS

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  47. Theoretical perspectives on the infectiousness of Ebola virus disease

    Article • Theoretical Biology and Medical Modelling, January 2015, Springer Science + Business Media

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  48. Intense Seasonal A/H1N1 Influenza in Mexico, Winter 2013–2014

    Article • Archives of Medical Research, January 2015, Elsevier

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  49. Synthesizing data and models for the spread of MERS-CoV, 2013: Key role of index cases and hospital transmission

    Article • Epidemics, December 2014, Elsevier

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  50. Death Patterns during the 1918 Influenza Pandemic in Chile

    Article • Emerging Infectious Diseases, November 2014, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC)

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  51. Transmission dynamics and control of Ebola virus disease (EVD): a review

    Article • BMC Medicine, October 2014, Springer Science + Business Media

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  52. Transmission dynamics and control of Ebola virus disease outbreak in Nigeria, July to September 2014

    Article • Eurosurveillance, October 2014, European Centre for Disease Control and Prevention (ECDC)

    Dr Gerardo Chowell, Dr David Dazhia Lazarus

  53. Merging Economics and Epidemiology to Improve the Prediction and Management of Infectious Disease

    Article • EcoHealth, September 2014, Springer Science + Business Media

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  54. Authors' reply: Feedback from modelling to surveillance of Ebola virus disease

    Article • Eurosurveillance, September 2014, European Centre for Disease Control and Prevention (ECDC)

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  55. Early transmission dynamics of Ebola virus disease (EVD), West Africa, March to August 2014

    Article • Eurosurveillance, September 2014, European Centre for Disease Control and Prevention (ECDC)

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  56. Time-Specific Ecologic Niche Models Forecast the Risk of Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome in Dongting Lake District, China, 2005–2010

    Article • PLoS ONE, September 2014, PLOS

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  57. Null Models for Community Detection in Spatially-Embedded, Temporal Networks

    Article • July 2014, Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory Press

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  58. Spatial-temporal excess mortality patterns of the 1918–1919 influenza pandemic in Spain

    Article • BMC Infectious Diseases, July 2014, Springer Science + Business Media

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  59. Rates of Influenza-like Illness and Winter School Breaks, Chile, 2004–2010

    Article • Emerging Infectious Diseases, July 2014, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC)

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  60. Heat-Related Deaths in Hot Cities: Estimates of Human Tolerance to High Temperature Thresholds

    Article • International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, March 2014, MDPI AG

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  61. Assessing the impact of public health interventions on the transmission of pandemicH1N1 influenza a virus aboard a Peruvian navy ship

    Article • Influenza and Other Respiratory Viruses, February 2014, Wiley

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  62. Urban structure and the risk of influenza A (H1N1) outbreaks in municipal districts

    Article • Chinese Science Bulletin, January 2014, Springer Science + Business Media

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  63. Influence of Deforestation, Logging, and Fire on Malaria in the Brazilian Amazon

    Article • PLoS ONE, January 2014, PLOS

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  64. The Western Africa Ebola Virus Disease Epidemic Exhibits Both Global Exponential and Local Polynomial Growth Rates

    Article • PLoS Currents, January 2014, PLOS

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  65. Is West Africa Approaching a Catastrophic Phase or is the 2014 Ebola Epidemic Slowing Down? Different Models Yield Different Answers for Liberia

    Article • PLoS Currents, January 2014, PLOS

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  66. Substantial Morbidity and Mortality Associated with Pandemic A/H1N1 Influenza in Mexico, Winter 2013-2014: Gradual Age Shift and Severity

    Article • PLoS Currents, January 2014, PLOS

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  67. A Data-Driven Mathematical Model of CA-MRSA Transmission among Age Groups: Evaluating the Effect of Control Interventions

    Article • PLoS Computational Biology, November 2013, PLOS

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  68. Commentary

    Article • Epidemiology, November 2013, Wolters Kluwer Health

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  69. Interactions between Social Structure, Demography, and Transmission Determine Disease Persistence in Primates

    Article • PLoS ONE, October 2013, PLOS

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  70. Potential Use of School Absenteeism Record for Disease Surveillance in Developing Countries, Case Study in Rural Cambodia

    Article • PLoS ONE, October 2013, PLOS

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  71. Transmission potential of influenza A/H7N9, February to May 2013, China

    Article • BMC Medicine, October 2013, Springer Science + Business Media

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  72. From the guest editors

    Article • Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering, August 2013, American Institute of Mathematical Sciences (AIMS)

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  73. The basic reproduction number $R_0$ and effectiveness of reactive interventions during dengue epidemics: The 2002 dengue outbreak in Easter Island, Chile

    Article • Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering, August 2013, American Institute of Mathematical Sciences (AIMS)

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  74. Occupation and Environmental Heat-Associated Deaths in Maricopa County, Arizona: A Case-Control Study

    Article • PLoS ONE, May 2013, PLOS

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  75. A Population Based Study of Seasonality of Skin and Soft Tissue Infections: Implications for the Spread of CA-MRSA

    Article • PLoS ONE, April 2013, PLOS

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  76. Skip the Trip: Air Travelers' Behavioral Responses to Pandemic Influenza

    Article • PLoS ONE, March 2013, PLOS

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  77. A practical method to target individuals for outbreak detection and control

    Article • BMC Medicine, February 2013, Springer Science + Business Media

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  78. Climate change and influenza: the likelihood of early and severe influenza seasons following warmer than average winters

    Article • PLoS Currents, January 2013, PLOS

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  79. Modeling rapidly disseminating infectious disease during mass gatherings

    Article • BMC Medicine, December 2012, Springer Science + Business Media

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  80. The age distribution of mortality due to influenza: pandemic and peri-pandemic

    Article • BMC Medicine, December 2012, Springer Science + Business Media

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  81. The influence of climatic conditions on the transmission dynamics of the 2009 A/H1N1 influenza pandemic in Chile

    Article • BMC Infectious Diseases, November 2012, Springer Science + Business Media

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  82. Impact of weekday social contact patterns on the modeling of influenza transmission, and determination of the influenza latent period

    Article • Journal of Theoretical Biology, November 2012, Elsevier

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  83. Toward unbiased assessment of treatment and prevention: modeling household transmission of pandemic influenza

    Article • BMC Medicine, October 2012, Springer Science + Business Media

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  84. Epidemiological Characterization of a Fourth Wave of Pandemic A/H1N1 Influenza in Mexico, Winter 2011–2012: Age Shift and Severity

    Article • Archives of Medical Research, October 2012, Elsevier

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  85. Epidemiological Characteristics and Underlying Risk Factors for Mortality during the Autumn 2009 Pandemic Wave in Mexico

    Article • PLoS ONE, July 2012, PLOS

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  86. Impact of antiviral treatment and hospital admission delay on risk of death associated with 2009 A/H1N1 pandemic influenza in Mexico

    Article • BMC Infectious Diseases, April 2012, Springer Science + Business Media

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  87. Recrudescent wave of pandemic A/H1N1 influenza in Mexico, winter 2011-2012: Age shift and severity

    Article • PLoS Currents, March 2012, PLOS

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  88. The 1918–19 Influenza Pandemic in Boyacá, Colombia

    Article • Emerging Infectious Diseases, January 2012, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC)

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  89. Risk Factors for Mortality among 2009 A/H1N1 Influenza Hospitalizations in Maricopa County, Arizona, April 2009 to March 2010

    Article • Computational and Mathematical Methods in Medicine, January 2012, Hindawi Publishing Corporation

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  90. Modeling Optimal Age-Specific Vaccination Strategies Against Pandemic Influenza

    Article • Bulletin of Mathematical Biology, December 2011, Springer Science + Business Media

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  91. Influenza-Related Mortality Trends in Japanese and American Seniors: Evidence for the Indirect Mortality Benefits of Vaccinating Schoolchildren

    Article • PLoS ONE, November 2011, PLOS

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  92. Mortality Burden of the A/H1N1 Pandemic in Mexico: A Comparison of Deaths and Years of Life Lost to Seasonal Influenza

    Article • Clinical Infectious Diseases, October 2011, Oxford University Press (OUP)

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  93. Measuring the benefits of school closure interventions to mitigate influenza

    Article • Expert Review of Respiratory Medicine, October 2011, Taylor & Francis

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  94. Influenza and Pneumonia Mortality in 66 Large Cities in the United States in Years Surrounding the 1918 Pandemic

    Article • PLoS ONE, August 2011, PLOS

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  95. Scales of perception: public awareness of regional and neighborhood climates

    Article • Climatic Change, August 2011, Springer Science + Business Media

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  96. The 1918–1920 influenza pandemic in Peru

    Article • Vaccine, July 2011, Elsevier

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  97. The need for interdisciplinary studies of historic pandemics

    Article • Vaccine, July 2011, Elsevier

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  98. Spatial and Temporal Characteristics of the 2009 A/H1N1 Influenza Pandemic in Peru

    Article • PLoS ONE, June 2011, PLOS

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  99. The influence of geographic and climate factors on the timing of dengue epidemics in Perú, 1994-2008

    Article • BMC Infectious Diseases, June 2011, Springer Science + Business Media

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  100. Characterizing the Epidemiology of the 2009 Influenza A/H1N1 Pandemic in Mexico

    Article • PLoS Medicine, May 2011, PLOS

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  101. Adaptive human behavior in epidemiological models

    Article • Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, March 2011, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  102. Did Modeling Overestimate the Transmission Potential of Pandemic (H1N1-2009)? Sample Size Estimation for Post-Epidemic Seroepidemiological Studies

    Article • PLoS ONE, March 2011, PLOS

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  103. A DETERMINISTIC METHODOLOGY FOR ESTIMATION OF PARAMETERS IN DYNAMIC MARKOV CHAIN MODELS

    Article • Journal of Biological System, March 2011, World Scientific Pub Co Pte Lt

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  104. Preface

    Article • Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering, January 2011, American Institute of Mathematical Sciences (AIMS)

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  105. A perspective on the 2009 A/H1N1 influenza pandemic in Mexico

    Article • Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering, January 2011, American Institute of Mathematical Sciences (AIMS)

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  106. Mortality Patterns Associated with the 1918 Influenza Pandemic in Mexico: Evidence for a Spring Herald Wave and Lack of Preexisting Immunity in Older Populations

    Article • The Journal of Infectious Diseases, August 2010, Oxford University Press (OUP)

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  107. Changes in the Viral Distribution Pattern after the Appearance of the Novel Influenza A H1N1 (pH1N1) Virus in Influenza-Like Illness Patients in Peru

    Article • PLoS ONE, July 2010, PLOS

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  108. Rubella metapopulation dynamics and importance of spatial coupling to the risk of congenital rubella syndrome in Peru

    Article • Journal of The Royal Society Interface, July 2010, Royal Society Publishing

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  109. Optimal control for pandemic influenza: The role of limited antiviral treatment and isolation

    Article • Journal of Theoretical Biology, July 2010, Elsevier

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  110. The reproduction number of seasonal influenza epidemics in Brazil, 1996-2006

    Article • Proceedings of the Royal Society B Biological Sciences, February 2010, Royal Society Publishing

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  111. Simulación del nivel de eliminación de sarampión y rubéola según la estratificación e interacción social

    Article • Revista de Salud Pública, February 2010, FapUNIFESP (SciELO)

    Doracelly D Hincapie-Palacio, Dr Gerardo Chowell

  112. Pros and cons of estimating the reproduction number from early epidemic growth rate of influenza A (H1N1) 2009

    Article • Theoretical Biology and Medical Modelling, January 2010, Springer Science + Business Media

    Dr Gerardo Chowell, Muntaser Safan

  113. Does Glycosylation as a modifier of Original Antigenic Sin explain the case age distribution and unusual toxicity in pandemic novel H1N1 influenza?

    Article • BMC Infectious Diseases, January 2010, Springer Science + Business Media

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  114. A discrete events delay differential system model for transmission of Vancomycin-resistant enterococcus (VRE) in hospitals

    Article • Journal of Inverse and Ill-Posed Problems, January 2010, De Gruyter

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  115. Transmission dynamics and underreporting of Kala-azar in the Indian state of Bihar

    Article • Journal of Theoretical Biology, January 2010, Elsevier

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  116. Adaptive Vaccination Strategies to Mitigate Pandemic Influenza: Mexico as a Case Study

    Article • PLoS ONE, December 2009, PLOS

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  117. Qualitative analysis of the level of cross-protection between epidemic waves of the 1918–1919 influenza pandemic

    Article • Journal of Theoretical Biology, December 2009, Elsevier

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  118. Adaptive vaccination strategies to mitigate pandemic influenzaMexico as a case study

    Article • PLoS Currents, August 2009, PLOS

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  119. Severe Respiratory Disease Concurrent with the Circulation of H1N1 Influenza

    Article • New England Journal of Medicine, August 2009, New England Journal of Medicine (NEJM/MMS)

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  120. Lessons from Nigeria: the role of roads in the geo-temporal progression of avian influenza (H5N1) virus

    Article • Epidemiology and Infection, August 2009, Cambridge University Press

    Dr Folorunso Oludayo FO Fasina, Dr Gerardo Chowell

  121. The ideal reporting interval for an epidemic to objectively interpret the epidemiological time course

    Article • Journal of The Royal Society Interface, July 2009, Royal Society Publishing

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  122. The spatial and temporal patterns of falciparum and vivax malaria in Perú: 1994–2006

    Article • Malaria Journal, June 2009, Springer Science + Business Media

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  123. The reproduction number $R_t$ in structured and nonstructured populations

    Article • Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering, March 2009, American Institute of Mathematical Sciences (AIMS)

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  124. Mathematical and Statistical Estimation Approaches in Epidemiology

    Article • January 2009, Springer Science + Business Media

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  125. The Basic Reproduction Number of Infectious Diseases: Computation and Estimation Using Compartmental Epidemic Models

    Article • January 2009, Springer Science + Business Media

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  126. The Effective Reproduction Number as a Prelude to Statistical Estimation of Time-Dependent Epidemic Trends

    Article • January 2009, Springer Science + Business Media

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  127. Spatial and Temporal Dynamics of Rubella in Peru, 1997–2006: Geographic Patterns, Age at Infection and Estimation of Transmissibility

    Article • January 2009, Springer Science + Business Media

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  128. Protecting residential care facilities from pandemic influenza

    Article • Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, July 2008, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  129. Signatures of non-homogeneous mixing in disease outbreaks

    Article • Mathematical and Computer Modelling, July 2008, Elsevier

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  130. Learning from the past to prepare for the future: Modeling the impact of hypothetical interventions during the great influenza pandemic of 1918

    Article • CHANCE, June 2008, Taylor & Francis

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  131. Spatial and temporal dynamics of dengue fever in Peru: 1994–2006

    Article • Epidemiology and Infection, April 2008, Cambridge University Press

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  132. The 1918-1919 influenza pandemic in England and Wales: spatial patterns in transmissibility and mortality impact

    Article • Proceedings of the Royal Society B Biological Sciences, March 2008, Royal Society Publishing

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  133. Quantifying the transmission potential of pandemic influenza

    Article • Physics of Life Reviews, March 2008, Elsevier

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  134. Here's to Your Health

    Article • CHANCE, March 2008, Taylor & Francis

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  135. Mathematical Assessment of Canada’s Pandemic Influenza Preparedness Plan

    Article • Canadian Journal of Infectious Diseases and Medical Microbiology, January 2008, Hindawi Publishing Corporation

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  136. Estimation of the reproduction number of dengue fever from spatial epidemic data

    Article • Mathematical Biosciences, August 2007, Elsevier

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  137. Seasonal influenza in the United States, France, and Australia: transmission and prospects for control

    Article • Epidemiology and Infection, July 2007, Cambridge University Press

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  138. Estimating the reproduction number from the initial phase of the Spanish flu pandemic waves in Geneva, Switzerland

    Article • Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering, May 2007, American Institute of Mathematical Sciences (AIMS)

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  139. Spatial distribution of acaricide profiles (Boophilus microplus strains susceptible or resistant to acaricides) in southeastern Mexico

    Article • Veterinary Parasitology, May 2007, Elsevier

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  140. On the role of cross-immunity and vaccines on the survival of less fit flu-strains

    Article • Theoretical Population Biology, February 2007, Elsevier

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  141. Assessing the role of basic control measures, antivirals and vaccine in curtailing pandemic influenza: scenarios for the US, UK and the Netherlands

    Article • Journal of The Royal Society Interface, December 2006, Royal Society Publishing

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  142. Estimation of the reproductive number of the Spanish flu epidemic in Geneva, Switzerland

    Article • Vaccine, November 2006, Elsevier

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  143. Comparative estimation of the reproduction number for pandemic influenza from daily case notification data

    Article • Journal of The Royal Society Interface, October 2006, Royal Society Publishing

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  144. Transmission dynamics of the great influenza pandemic of 1918 in Geneva, Switzerland: Assessing the effects of hypothetical interventions

    Article • Journal of Theoretical Biology, July 2006, Elsevier

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  145. Epidemiological and clinical characteristics of scorpionism in Colima, Mexico (2000–2001)

    Article • Toxicon, June 2006, Elsevier

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  146. The role of spatial mixing in the spread of foot-and-mouth disease

    Article • Preventive Veterinary Medicine, March 2006, Elsevier

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  147. Human-mediated Foot-and-mouth Disease Epidemic Dispersal: Disease and Vector Clusters

    Article • Journal of Veterinary Medicine Series B, February 2006, Wiley

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  148. Modelling the transmission dynamics of acute haemorrhagic conjunctivitis: application to the 2003 outbreak in Mexico

    Article • Statistics in Medicine, January 2006, Wiley

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  149. Identification of case clusters and counties with high infective connectivity in the 2001 epidemic of foot-and-mouth disease in Uruguay

    Article • American Journal of Veterinary Research, January 2006, American Veterinary Medical Association (AVMA)

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  150. Mathematical applications associated with the deliberate release of infectious agents

    Article • January 2006, American Mathematical Society (AMS)

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  151. Critical response to post-outbreak vaccination against foot-and-mouth disease

    Article • January 2006, American Mathematical Society (AMS)

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  152. Predicting scorpion sting incidence in an endemic region using climatological variables *

    Article • International Journal of Environmental Health Research, December 2005, Taylor & Francis

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  153. The Role of Vaccination in the Control of SARS

    Article • Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering, October 2005, American Institute of Mathematical Sciences (AIMS)

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  154. The dynamics of pulmonary tuberculosis in Colima, Mexico (1999–2002)

    Article • Scandinavian Journal of Infectious Diseases, January 2005, Taylor & Francis

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  155. Pediatric electrocardiograph abnormalities following Centruroides limpidus tecomanus scorpion envenomation

    Article • Toxicon, January 2005, Elsevier

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  156. Model Parameters and Outbreak Control for SARS

    Article • Emerging Infectious Diseases, July 2004, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC)

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  157. The basic reproductive number of Ebola and the effects of public health measures: the cases of Congo and Uganda

    Article • Journal of Theoretical Biology, July 2004, Elsevier

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  158. Scaling laws for the movement of people between locations in a large city

    Article • December 2003, American Physical Society (APS)

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  159. SARS outbreaks in Ontario, Hong Kong and Singapore: the role of diagnosis and isolation as a control mechanism

    Article • Journal of Theoretical Biology, September 2003, Elsevier

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  160. 2. Worst-Case Scenarios and Epidemics

    Article • January 2003, Society for Industrial & Applied Mathematics (SIAM)

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  161. Towards Real Time Epidemiology: Data Assimilation, Modeling and Anomaly Detection of Health Surveillance Data Streams

    Article • Springer Science + Business Media

    Dr Gerardo Chowell

  162. Science AMA Series: I’m Gerardo Chowell. I study the transmission dynamics of infectious diseases. Lately, I’ve been focused on Middle East respiratory syndrome (MERS). AMA.

    Article • The Winnower, LLC

    Dr Gerardo Chowell